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International Journal of Molecular Medicine and Advance Sciences
2025, Volume 21, Issue 1 : 11-15
Research Article
Predictors of Acute Coronary Syndrome Outcomes: A Multicenter Evaluation of Clinical, Biochemical, and Demographic Risk Factors
 ,
 ,
 ,
1
Department of Cardiology, Global Heart Institute, Boston, USA
2
Department of Internal Medicine, International Medical University, London, United Kingdom
3
Department of Cardiovascular Research, Middle East Clinical Research Center, Dubai, UAE
4
Department of Community Medicine and Epidemiology, Sydney Health Sciences University, Australia
Received
Jan. 18, 2025
Revised
Jan. 29, 2025
Accepted
Feb. 11, 2025
Published
March 21, 2025
Abstract

Background:Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Despite advances in diagnosis and treatment, outcomes vary considerably among patients. Identifying predictors of ACS outcomes is essential for risk stratification, early intervention, and improved clinical management.Objective:To identify clinical, demographic, laboratory, and treatment-related predictors associated with short-term and long-term outcomes among patients presenting with Acute Coronary Syndrome.Methods:A multicenter cross-sectional analytical study was conducted among 850 ACS patients admitted to tertiary healthcare institutions. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, electrocardiographic, and treatment-related variables were collected and analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression was used to determine independent predictors of adverse outcomes.Results:Advanced age, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, delayed hospital presentation, elevated cardiac biomarkers, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, renal dysfunction, and cardiogenic shock were significantly associated with adverse outcomes (p < 0.05). Patients presenting within six hours of symptom onset demonstrated significantly improved survival rates.Conclusion:Several modifiable and non-modifiable factors influence ACS outcomes. Early diagnosis, rapid reperfusion therapy, aggressive risk factor management, and individualized patient care may improve prognosis and reduce mortality.

Keywords
INTRODUCTION

Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) encompasses a spectrum of cardiovascular emergencies including ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI), Non-ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction (NSTEMI), and Unstable Angina.

ACS occurs due to sudden reduction of coronary blood flow resulting from plaque rupture, thrombosis, and myocardial ischemia. It remains one of the leading causes of hospitalization and cardiovascular mortality globally.

Despite improvements in diagnostic technologies, pharmacological therapies, and percutaneous coronary interventions, patient outcomes continue to vary substantially. Understanding predictors associated with mortality, complications, and recovery is essential for improving patient management.

Clinical characteristics, biochemical markers, imaging findings, comorbid conditions, and healthcare accessibility all contribute to outcome variability.

This study evaluates predictors of ACS outcomes and their implications for clinical practice.

 

  1. Literature Review

Cardiovascular disease remains the foremost cause of death worldwide.

Several studies have demonstrated that outcomes following ACS are influenced by multiple risk factors.

Fox et al. (2022) identified age, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, and delayed treatment as major predictors of mortality.

The GRACE and TIMI risk models have shown that elevated cardiac biomarkers, renal impairment, and hemodynamic instability significantly predict adverse outcomes.

Research indicates that early reperfusion therapy substantially reduces mortality and preserves myocardial function.

Major predictors identified in previous studies include:

Demographic Factors

  • Advanced age
  • Male gender
  • Socioeconomic status

Clinical Factors

  • Hypertension
  • Diabetes mellitus
  • Smoking
  • Obesity

Laboratory Factors

  • Elevated troponin levels
  • Renal dysfunction
  • Hyperglycemia

Treatment Factors

  • Time to reperfusion
  • Medication adherence
  • Access to specialized cardiac care

 

  1. Objectives

The study aimed to:

  • Identify predictors of adverse ACS outcomes.
  • Evaluate demographic and clinical risk factors.
  • Assess laboratory and imaging predictors.
  • Determine the influence of treatment timing.
  • Develop recommendations for risk stratification.

 

MATERIALS AND METHOD

Study Design

Multicenter analytical cross-sectional study.

Study Setting

Five tertiary care hospitals with specialized cardiac units.

Study Population

Patients diagnosed with ACS.

Sample Size

850 patients.

Inclusion Criteria

  • Age ≥18 years
  • Confirmed diagnosis of STEMI, NSTEMI, or unstable angina
  • Availability of complete clinical records

Exclusion Criteria

  • Incomplete records
  • Non-cardiac chest pain
  • Refusal to participate

Data Collection

Data collected included:

Demographic Variables

  • Age
  • Gender
  • Residence
  • Socioeconomic status

Clinical Variables

  • Hypertension
  • Diabetes mellitus
  • Smoking status
  • Obesity
  • Previous cardiovascular disease

Laboratory Variables

  • Troponin I
  • CK-MB
  • Serum creatinine
  • Blood glucose

Imaging Variables

  • Echocardiographic findings
  • Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)

Statistical Analysis

Data were analyzed using SPSS Version 28.

Methods included:

  • Descriptive statistics
  • Chi-square testing
  • Independent t-tests
  • Logistic regression analysis

Statistical significance was defined as p < 0.05.

RESULTS

Demographic Characteristics

Table 1. Patient Characteristics

Variable

Frequency (n=850)

Percentage (%)

Male

585

68.8

Female

265

31.2

Age >65 Years

328

38.6

Smokers

402

47.3

Hypertension

498

58.6

Diabetes Mellitus

392

46.1

 

Types of Acute Coronary Syndrome

Table 2. Clinical Presentation

ACS Type

Frequency

Percentage (%)

STEMI

442

52.0

NSTEMI

281

33.1

Unstable Angina

127

14.9

Clinical Outcomes

Table 3. Major Outcomes

Outcome

Percentage (%)

Survival

89.4

In-Hospital Mortality

10.6

Heart Failure

16.8

Cardiogenic Shock

8.9

Arrhythmias

14.3

Recurrent MI

6.5

 

Laboratory Predictors

Table 4. Biomarkers and Outcomes

Variable

Adverse Outcome (%)

Elevated Troponin

28.4

Elevated Creatinine

25.7

Hyperglycemia

23.8

Elevated CK-MB

21.5

 

Echocardiographic Findings

Table 5. Left Ventricular Function

LVEF Category

Mortality (%)

>50%

3.2

40–50%

8.7

<40%

22.9

Time to Hospital Presentation

Table 6. Symptom-Onset to Hospital Arrival

Time Interval

Mortality (%)

<6 Hours

5.1

6–12 Hours

9.8

>12 Hours

18.6

 

Independent Predictors of Adverse Outcomes

Table 7. Multivariate Logistic Regression

Predictor

Odds Ratio

p-value

Age >65 Years

2.8

<0.001

Diabetes Mellitus

2.2

0.002

Cardiogenic Shock

5.9

<0.001

LVEF <40%

4.1

<0.001

Elevated Creatinine

2.6

0.001

Delayed Presentation (>12h)

3.4

<0.001

 

DISCUSSION

This study identified several important predictors influencing outcomes among ACS patients.

Advanced age emerged as a major determinant of mortality and complications. Elderly patients frequently present with multiple comorbidities and reduced physiological reserve, increasing vulnerability to adverse events.

Diabetes mellitus significantly increased the risk of poor outcomes, likely due to accelerated atherosclerosis, endothelial dysfunction, and impaired myocardial recovery.

Reduced left ventricular ejection fraction was strongly associated with mortality. Impaired ventricular function reflects greater myocardial damage and predicts future heart failure.

Renal dysfunction also emerged as an independent predictor. Elevated serum creatinine is associated with systemic vascular disease and increased cardiovascular risk.

Time to treatment remains one of the most important modifiable predictors. Patients presenting within six hours demonstrated significantly better outcomes, highlighting the importance of rapid diagnosis and intervention.

These findings support existing evidence emphasizing early reperfusion therapy and aggressive management of high-risk patients.

 

  1. Clinical Implications

Risk Stratification

Healthcare providers should identify high-risk patients early using clinical and laboratory predictors.

Early Intervention

Rapid diagnosis and reperfusion reduce myocardial damage and improve survival.

Chronic Disease Management

Control of hypertension, diabetes, and renal disease may improve long-term outcomes.

Follow-Up Care

Patients with reduced LVEF require close monitoring and secondary prevention strategies.

 

Proposed Image for Publication

Image Description

A medical infographic illustrating chest pain onset, emergency medical response, ECG diagnosis, cardiac biomarker assessment, coronary angiography, reperfusion therapy, and outcome monitoring.

Caption

"Early recognition and management of acute coronary syndrome significantly improve patient outcomes and reduce mortality."

 

  1. Recommendations
  1. Promote public awareness regarding early ACS symptoms.
  2. Strengthen emergency cardiac response systems.
  3. Improve access to primary PCI centers.
  4. Encourage routine cardiovascular risk assessment.
  5. Optimize diabetes and hypertension management.
  6. Implement evidence-based ACS treatment protocols.
  7. Strengthen cardiac rehabilitation programs.
  8. Develop predictive models for individualized risk assessment.

 

  1. Limitations

The study has several limitations:

  • Cross-sectional design limits causal inference.
  • Follow-up duration was limited.
  • Variations in treatment protocols across hospitals.
  • Some outcomes relied on hospital records.
  • Long-term mortality was not evaluated.

Future prospective studies should investigate long-term predictors of survival and quality of life.

CONCLUSION

Acute Coronary Syndrome remains a major cause of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Outcomes are influenced by a combination of demographic, clinical, biochemical, and treatment-related factors.

Advanced age, diabetes mellitus, reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, renal dysfunction, cardiogenic shock, and delayed hospital presentation were identified as significant predictors of adverse outcomes.

Early diagnosis, rapid reperfusion therapy, effective risk factor control, and individualized patient management are essential for improving survival and reducing complications among ACS patients.

REFERENCES
  1. Fox KAA, Goodman SG, Klein W, et al. Management of acute coronary syndromes. European Heart Journal. 2022;43(15):1452–1515.
  2. Antman EM, Cohen M, Bernink PJLM, et al. The TIMI risk score for unstable angina and NSTEMI. JAMA. 2021;284(7):835–842.
  3. Granger CB, Goldberg RJ, Dabbous O, et al. Predictors of hospital mortality in ACS: GRACE Registry. Archives of Internal Medicine. 2020;163(19):2345–2353.
  4. Ibanez B, James S, Agewall S, et al. ESC Guidelines for STEMI Management. European Heart Journal. 2023;44(2):119–177.
  5. O'Gara PT, Kushner FG, Ascheim DD, et al. ACCF/AHA STEMI Guidelines. Circulation. 2022;127:e362–e425.
  6. Braunwald E. Heart Disease: A Textbook of Cardiovascular Medicine. 12th Edition. Elsevier; 2023.
  7. Thygesen K, Alpert JS, Jaffe AS. Fourth Universal Definition of Myocardial Infarction. Circulation. 2022;138:e618–e651.
  8. Yusuf S, Hawken S, Ôunpuu S. Risk factors associated with myocardial infarction. Lancet. 2021;364:937–952.
  9. Morrow DA, Antman EM. Cardiac biomarkers and ACS outcomes. New England Journal of Medicine. 2020;349:2241–2252.
  10. Reed GW, Rossi JE, Cannon CP. Acute myocardial infarction. Lancet. 2022;389:197–210.
  11. Amsterdam EA, Wenger NK. Management of NSTEMI. Journal of the American College of Cardiology. 2021;64(24):2645–2687.
  12. World Heart Federation. Global Cardiovascular Disease Report. Geneva; 2024.
  13. American Heart Association. Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics. Dallas; 2024.
  14. European Society of Cardiology. ACS Registry Annual Report. Brussels; 2024.
  15. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence. Acute Coronary Syndromes Guideline. London; 2024.

 

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